Last week, I wrote the following about the dollar:
Until the dollar moves convincingly below the 20.9 area, we're still in a trading range.In addition, I noted on Tuesday that the dollar was nearing support levels:
The dollar has been trading in a fairly tight consolidation range for the last 4 months -- between 20.9 and 21.7. The dollar is now approaching critical support levels. Also note the technical, upside resistance the dollar faces in the form of three declining EMAs -- the 10, 20 and 50.As we approach the all important Jackson Hole meeting, the dollar is still hovering at critical levels:
Later this week, Bernanke will be at Jackson Hole, where he will speak on Friday morning. I have no idea what he's going to say -- but the dollar appears to be anticipating another round of easing in one form or another. If these levels hold through Friday, I'd place stops below support.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg1-JenhiYE41DWucgnt0nHoXmmDlrUoS_9j-kL6uBeSBYidoOELnN-QQHXQtlZ3686Y8cSoml-Q9Nt3SmdWYqKBf12sITqA0CFT-k5M7JwvZYeS6qmHpXIYgmFI22CVZGqfcQEGW3I8cNj/s400/Chart+of+UUP.gif)
The dollar is hovering above key support in the upper 20s with a very bearish EMA picture. Ben's speech will be key here.
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