New orders for manufactured durable goods in April increased $3.0 billion or 1.9 percent to $161.5 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This was the second increase in the last three months and followed a 2.1 percent March decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.8 percent. Excluding defense, new orders also increased 1.0 percent.
Granted -- other parts of the report are less rosy.
-- Shipments of manufactured durable goods in April, down nine consecutive months, decreased $0.3 billion or 0.2 percent to $174.2 billion.
-- Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in April, down seven consecutive months, decreased $8.9 billion or 1.2 percent to $748.9 billion.
In other words -- we have a long way to go before we're back to normal. But consider the following charts:
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi6MOVXTdstUNtiiJwSZUEaqOVUr3uU5SIVnod4W1x2XYlDoXtjmQ0vNtDottlPiEfsZ0RlVy90p05PdWpO5RFNIUk1wX_WvDA1dppv73AzHjWts_Q3iCjYEaBWlVD3ggJiAeSfgPVHmz1c/s400/dur+goods+millions.png)
Is this a bottom in the month to month chart?
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhKq0EgLWqOmrFrWFxdA0O1sCfrqZHQp07XI7chrK0s67hZX8hyphenhyphenn1giAydvJ1qZ_MFpzgdwJDTsgt34qOXzGMaZ8NegUkThQtLksTMG78fymOgUTas-bPHPn1yUtttAFjgYmPNANc8uEvXw/s400/dur+goods+yoy.png)
Is this a bottom in the year over year numbers?
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilFpcLPLCIV55719ESGTbkwLs_Zv6GCuu4eFtJc3NJP-AmI86xHhJYnGXZk_OS28i-eMEbBqUCpxPjxpKkd6ElHDuBfgLU22zLgKHwGwR0lTYeQCqP2PksWRc2EY2t-xdwmEQy8ia5Nj6f/s400/showimage.asp.gif)
This chart better shows the possible bottoming in the year over year numbers.
I want to caution: these are preliminary numbers. BUT, they're still pretty good.
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